Robust estimation of the Pareto index: A Monte Carlo Analysis

نویسندگان

  • MICHAŁ BRZEZIŃSKI
  • MICHAL BRZEZINSKI
چکیده

The Pareto distribution is often used in many areas of economics to model the right tail of heavytailed distributions. However, the standard method of estimating the shape parameter (the Pareto index) of this distribution– the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) – is non-robust, in the sense that it is very sensitive to extreme observations, data contamination or model deviation. In recent years, a number of robust estimators for the Pareto index have been proposed, which correct the deficiency of the MLE. However, little is known about the performance of these estimators in small-sample setting, which often occurs in practice. This paper investigates the small-sample properties of the most popular robust estimators for the Pareto index, including the optimal B-robust estimator (OBRE) (Victoria-Feser and Ronchetti, 1994, The Canadian Journal of Statistics 22: 247–258), the weighted maximum likelihood estimator (WMLE) (Dupuis and Victoria-Feser, 2006, Canadian Journal of Statistics 34: 639–658), the generalized median estimator (GME) (Brazauskas and Serfling, 2001a, Extremes 3, 231–249), the partial density component estimator (PDCE) (Vandewalle et al., 2007, Computational Statistics & Data Analysis 51: 6252–6268), and the probability integral transform statistic estimator (PITSE) (Finkelstein et al., 2006, North American Actuarial Journal 10, 1–10). Monte Carlo simulations show that the PITSE offers the desired compromise between ease of use and power to protect against outliers in the small-sample setting.

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تاریخ انتشار 2013